Progression of semiconductor processes technology MKS Instruments
However, Moore’s observation was a very accurate prediction of one of the key innovations that have driven the advancement of electronics technology over the last half century. Another electronics pioneer, a Caltech professor named Carver Mead, popularized the term. In a 2015 interview, Moore himself said, “".I just did a wild extrapolation saying it’s going to continue to double every year for the next 10 years." So, calling Moore’s observation a “law” is a bit of stretch, and Moore didn’t make that stretch himself. Note that these observations and conclusions are called “theories” until they can be verified through some scientific method.
Scientific Laws generally refer to natural phenomena. Even back then, Moore’s Law was not carved in stone. Moore revised the doubling period to two years. Moore were based on the technology available at the time, which was 2D, referred to as planar, integrated circuit designs. It is important to remember that this observation and the other predictions made by Dr. In this article, Gordon Moore accurately predicted the next 10 years of progress for integrated circuits (ICs) and the electronics industry based on his observation. The full article is available in the Computer History Museum Archives, as well as on the Intel website. I believe that such a large circuit can be built on a single wafer.”
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